2.08.2008

Obama Tougher for GOP to Beat?

According to Peggy Noonan ("Can Mrs. Clinton Lose?"), Hillary Clinton is much more vulnerable in the fall against the GOP than is Barack Obama. I've heard this suggested now from a number of conservative Republicans, including Bill Bennett, Newt Gingrich and even Rush Limbaugh.

The Democrats have it exactly wrong. Hillary is the easier candidate, Mr. Obama the tougher. Hillary brings negative; it's fair to hit her back with negative. Mr. Obama brings hope, and speaks of a better way. He's not Bambi, he's bulletproof.
Do these Republicans really believe that Barack Obama would be tougher for them to beat than Hillary? Are they just causing mischief? Is Obama really bulletproof against the rightwing smear machine? And is Hillary Clinton really as easy to take down as the rightwing radio screechers suggest?

I'm not so sure. The Clintons are pretty good at that game--and even conservatives seem to be tuning out rightwing radio/tv screechers.

However, the polls still show that a majority of American voters will never vote for Hillary. If she's the Democratic nominee, a right-of-center or Libertarian 3rd party candidate may be needed to help her win a plurality. Ron Paul?

Other polls also show Barack Obama beating--and Hillary Clinton losing--in head-to-head comparisons with the GOP's presumptive nominee John McCain.

It's a leap of faith to believe that a majority of voters in America are ready to pull the lever for a Black man for president in 2008. Of course, it's a leap of faith that I and millions of others are happy to take.

Yes, We Can! Si, Se Puede!

1 comment:

  1. I posted this over at my blog:

    Democrats are likely to win the presidency in November for two reasons: Independents going Democrat and Republicans staying home.

    Hillary Clinton, to a much greater degree than Obama, reverses these two trends. Independents, given Hillary’s high negative polling, are less likely to vote for her compared to Obama.The right despises her, significantly more so than Obama - making many Republicans vote against her who would have otherwise stayed home.

    There are really two things that give the Republicans a chance to win this election: Nominating the most moderate Republican - which they have already done given McCain – and get the most polarizing figure on the Democrat side, making Hillary the most favorable candidate.

    The Republicans, by sacrificing ideology for more electability, seem serious in wanting to win in November - Democrats, by favoring Hillary over Obama, do not.

    And it seems like I am in good company, as Karl Rove agrees with my assesment, see here.

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