The evangelical vote has been a cornerstone of the Republican Party's national successes since Ronald Reagan's 1980 victory over Jimmy Carter.
(The irony is that Carter was--and is--a devout, born-again, Evangelical Christian and Reagan was not.)
If the Democrats could ever peal away enough Evangelicals, it would cripple the GOP. Could it happen this year?
Mark DeMoss, a prominent public relations executive in the evangelical world who's client list includes Franklin Graham and Campus Crusade for Christ, thinks so. According to very clued-in DeMoss, Obama could win as much as 40% of the evangelical vote. Wow!
A Southern Baptist who supported Mormon Mitt Romney in the GOP Primary, DeMoss sees very little enthusiasm for McCain--and he himself is only a lukewarm supporter.
Interview with Mark DeMoss - Beliefnet
Evangelicals Are Still Wary Despite McCain’s Outreach - NYTimes
McCain's Evangelical Problem - Robert Novak
Will Christian Voters Turn to the Democratic Party in 2008? - Stephanie Condon