Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts

11.03.2008

Barack Obama On Brink of Historic Victory

According to the latest Pollster.com polling trends, Barack Obama and Joe Biden have a significant 7.1 point lead nationally over John McCain and Sarah Palin.

While the actual verdict will be rendered in tomorrow's presidential vote, preference polls show Obama-Biden hold a commanding 364 to 171 advantage over their rivals in the all important electoral college sweepstakes.



Note: Click poll results for state-level trends.

Alabama: McCain +23.2 (9)
Alaska: McCain +16.9 (3)
Arizona: McCain +5.2 (10)
Arkansas: McCain +9.7 (6)
California: Obama +19.7 (55)
Colorado: Obama +6.9 (9)
Connecticut: Obama +21.1 (7)
Delaware: Obama +19.4 (3)
Florida: Obama +2.6 (27)
Georgia: McCain +1.7 (15)
Hawaii: Obama +33.6 (4)
Idaho: McCain +32.6 (4)
Illinois: Obama +25.0 (21)
Indiana: McCain +0.9 (11)
Iowa: Obama +12.9 (7)
Kansas: McCain +17.4 (6)
Kentucky: McCain +13.2 (8)
Louisiana: McCain +10.8 (9)
Maine: Obama +16.9 (4)
Maryland: Obama +18.0 (10)
Massachusetts: Obama +20.5 (12)
Michigan: Obama +16.1 (17)
Minnesota: Obama +13.0 (10)
Mississippi: McCain +9.6 (6)
Missouri: Obama +2.0 (11)
Montana: McCain +1.9 (3)
Nebraska: McCain +22.3 (5)
Nevada: Obama +6.8 (5)
New Hampshire: Obama +11.9 (4)
New Jersey: Obama +15.2 (15)
New Mexico: Obama +8.6 (5)
New York: Obama +26.2 (31)
North Carolina: Obama +0.5 (15)
North Dakota: Obama +3.1 (3)
Ohio: Obama +5.1 (20)
Oklahoma: McCain +27.5 (7)
Oregon: Obama +15.7 (7)
Pennsylvania: Obama +7.7 (21)
Rhode Island: Obama +17.3 (4)
South Carolina: McCain +9.6 (8)
South Dakota: McCain +7.5 (3)
Tennessee: McCain +15.0 (11)
Texas: McCain +13.5 (34)
Utah: McCain +18.1 (5)
Virginia: Obama +6.1 (13)
Vermont: Obama +21.3 (3)
Washington: Obama +12.9 (11)
West Virginia: McCain +11.9 (5)
Wisconsin: Obama +10.9 (10)
Wyoming: McCain +24.3 (3)

10.25.2008

US Turning Pro-Obama Blue

This cartogram by Stochastic Democracy, where states are sized proportionally to their electoral votes, shows Obama's chances of winning. States with current polls favoring Obama are in Blue, McCain-leaning states in Red and states tied are in purple.

Stochastic Democracy -- a site that boasts applying mathematics to politics--also shows the probability of Obama winning these Republican states: Missouri(76%), North Carolina(74%), Florida(68%), Indiana(53%), and North Dakota(53%).

Remarkable!

9.03.2008

Latinos Favors Obama 3 to 1 in Key States

Latino voters favor Barrack Obama over John McCain by a 3-1 margin in the key battleground states of New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada. In Florida, Latino preference is split (and within the MOE) for McCain and Obama.

In short, Obama is crushing McCain --and outperforming Kerry '04--by significant percentages:

Colorado________O:69%_____M:24%
New Mexico_____O:70%_____M:21%
Nevada_________O:68%_____M:22%

Florida_________O:45%_____M:48%

The Latino Decisions poll was completed August 27, 2008 -- the week before the DNC's Denver Convention.

Latino Decisions is a joint effort of Pacific Market Research, Dr. Gary Segura, and Dr. Matt Barreto, both of whom are Senior Researchers at Latino Decisions and Professors at Stanford University and the University of Washington, respectively.

7.25.2008

66% of Latino Voters Favor Obama

Latino voters favor Barack Obama for president over John McCain by 66% to 23%, according to poll by the Pew Hispanic Center. (So much for Bendixon's gut feeling.)

In addition to their strong support for Obama, Pew found that Latino voters have moved sharply into the Democratic camp in the past two years, reversing a pro-GOP tide that had been evident among Latinos earlier in the decade. Some 65% of Latino registered voters now say they identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party, compared with just 26% who identify with or lean toward the GOP.

Why? The rampant anti-Latino nativism of the GOP since 2001 is a big reason. However, the free-flowing hostility towards the country's most dynamic and fast-growing ethnic group is symptomatic of the failed presidency of George W. Bush and the party he leads. Latinos--as do decent Americans everywhere--insist upon enlightened, effective and accountable national leaders.

The poll surveyed 2,015 Latino registered voters from June 9 through July 13, 2008. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish.

Link: 2008 National Survey of Latinos: Hispanic Voter Attitudes

7.08.2008

The Polling 'Mala Práctica' of Sergio Bendixon

The Latino vote is in play in the presidential contest, so writes Josh Gerstein, a reporter for the conservative New York Sun. He arrives at his surprising finding even though the facts suggest otherwise. The data--which Gerstein mentions and then ignores--clearly show that Obama is beating McCain by a two-to-one margin among Latino voters in ALL national polls.

So how is it that Gerstein sees a reality different than what the professional national polls (including Gallup and NBC/Wall Street Journal) are picking up?

Well, it seems that Gerstein gets his wisdom from Sergio Bendixon, a "prominent Hispanic pollster", who's gut, it seems, tells him that Latinos nationally are not as taken by Obama. Without a shred of evidence, Bendixon--owner of Bendixen & Associates, a multi-lingual opinion survey group in Coral Gables, Florida--claims that Obama's double-digit lead over McCain among Latinos nationally is false.

Bendixon's special knowledge appears to come from his reading of his own "poll" among Latinos (mostly Cubans) of Miami/Dade County. It's a survey in which the self-proclaimed expert in multi-ethnic survey research finds lots of love for McCain among his hometown Cubans and a split McCain/Obama preference among other local Latinos.

While Bendixon's survey may represent Miami/Dade Latino voter preference, it says zippo, nada about Latino voter preference nationally or anywhere else outside of Bendixon's home turf.

Remember though that Bendixon is the guy who did Spanish language polling for Hillary--and may still be at her service. And he is also the Clinton political operative that went on record with the disgusting assertion that "Hispanics" won't vote for the Black man.

Note to political candidates: Do buy Bendixon's polls--and his opinions--if you have money to waste.

BTW: I'd love to listen in on Mr. Bendixon's Spanish language interviews. If their tone and wording reflects the class/racial attitudes of Mr. Bendixon and his telenovela clients, one would have to declare them polling mala práctica.

Link: Latino Vote Is in Play in Presidential Contest

Related:
Who'll Win the Latino Vote?
Latinos Shift to Obama
The Clinton campaign's assertion that Latinos historically haven't voted for black candidates is divisive -- and false.
The Black-Brown Divide
Misleading Latinos for Political Advantage
A campaign about race
Latinos for Obama - Si Se Puede!

5.28.2008

Puerto Rico Primary Poll Questioned

In a poll of Puerto Rico voters published today in the island's El Vocero daily, Hillary Clinton holds a 13 point advantage Barack Obama with just days before Puerto Rico's June 1st primary -- 51% to 38%.

If accurate, Hillary will easily win the Puerto Rico derby.

However, I do have questions about the integrity of the Vocero-Univision poll and here's why:

1) The Vocero poll is a co-production with Univison, a NYC and Miami-based Spanish-language television company owned by staunch Clinton partisan and financial backer Haim Saban.

2) The Vocero poll article is curiously missing basic poll information, including sample size, margin of error, and actual groups surveyed (residents, registered voter, likely voters, etc.). A search of the Univision and Univision PR websites turned up empty. Unfortunately, without the poll's particulars there's no way to properly judge the information presented--and that information/data could be inaccurate, misleading or worse.

For example, the poll found that only 43% of respondents will definitely vote, but it's not clear if those are the views of the general public, registered voters or likely voters--my guess is that it's of the general public. It's also not clear if the 51% favoring Hillary and the 38% favoring Obama reflects the views of the whole surveyed group or of a subgroup such 'likely voters'.

3) It's clear from my viewing of Univision's coverage of the Clinton-Obama contest that the network favors Clinton. For example, it was Univision's late minute debate "offer" that has been used to score cheap political points against Barack Obama, and it was Univision that has given Hillary a pass on her flip-flopping on licenses for undocumented workers, militarizing the US-Mexico border, the Iraq War, etc.

For argument's sake, let's assume that the poll is accurate and the people surveyed are registered voters. If 100% of the 43% planning to vote vote, a bit over 1 million islanders will cast votes on Sunday. If they vote in accordance with the poll results, Hillary will receive 510,000 votes to Obama's 380,000. A big victory but not enough to erase Obama's hefty delegate advantage.

Obama will end June 1st about 22 delegates short of winning the nomination, while Hillary will be short about 210. Favored in the final primaries of June 3rd in Montana and South Dakota, Obama will win the necessary 2025 delegates and lock-up the nomination.

Hillary will be the official loser. But so will be Puerto Rico if the voters of the commonwealth miss an historic opportunity to vote for true change.

5.21.2008

Latinos Shift to Obama


A new Gallup Poll finds that Latino Democrats now favor Barack Obama over Hillary Clinton 51% to 44%. This is significant because Clinton has held a firm advantage with Latinos throughout most of the primary season. Moreover, the shift to Obama means that the McCain Campaign will have to work very hard to match the 44% of the Latino vote won by George W. Bush in 2000.

Key Clinton Constituencies Moving Toward Obama

2.27.2008

The Race: Thoroughbred Obama vs Hillary the Mare

This chart is a composite of some 160 preference polls conducted over the last year. It demonstrates visually what so many of us have known is our gut: it's never really been much of a race between Hillary and Obama.

Check out the data.

For example, Obama's climb started back in October--some three months before the Iowa Caucuses. Observe how the trajectory of rise rocketed beginning in early December of '07. It was that momentum that explains his "surprising" triumph in the snowy plains of Iowa in early January.

So even though the media has tried to generate a horse-race between Hillary and Obama, the truth is that one never really materialized. The Hillary candidacy has been stalled from almost day one--kept aloft only by her superior name recognition, spin by her campaign, and the media's desire for a horse race.

Of the three Democratic competitors tracked by the polls, Edwards is the gelding that starts with a limp and is quickly scratched. Hillary is the mare who's only a trotter. And Obama is the thorough bred that forces a quicker pace, drafts, then turns it on in the backstretch and wins by a number of lengths.

Granted the primaries are not yet over and all sorts of things can happen to shake up the race between now and the primaries in Ohio, Texas, Vermont and Rhode Island. But then again, the chart does remind us that this race is really between a mare and a thoroughbred.

2.17.2008

Young Latinos for Obama or Nada

Barack Obama may be attracting many young Latino first-time voters – but if he doesn’t win his party’s nomination, they may not vote a second time.

More than four out of five Latino first-time voters under the age of 30 who voted for Barack Obama on Super Tuesday say that if the Democrats nominate Hillary Clinton, they will not vote at all in the presidential election in November.

“It’s like rooting for your team during the playoffs,” said one 20-something first-time voter, a New York Puerto Rican male. “If my team doesn’t make it to the Super Bowl, yeah, I’ll watch the game, but my heart’s not in it.”

For the majority of urban Latino youth, if Obama doesn’t make it to the November election, they’ll watch the returns on television that night, but they won’t bother to vote.

The week after Super Tuesday, my company, Hispanic Economics, was hired by the Obama campaign to conduct surveys of 655 Latino voters under the age of 30 who supported Obama in New York, New Jersey, Illinois and Arizona. Rather than asking whom they would vote for in a hypothetical race between Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama and John McCain, voters were asked, “If Obama is not nominated, and in November it is Hillary Clinton versus John McCain, are you likely to bother to vote at all?”

When phrased this way, more than 80 percent of Latino first-time voters under the age of 30 who support Obama said, “No.”

This bodes well for the Republicans, since the nomination of Hillary Clinton, described by some of these Latino males under 30is “unappealing,”
“establishment,” “prehistoric,” and “bigoted,” could compel the much-vaunted “youth” vote to stay home on Nov. 8.

More

Related: Age, Not Race, Splits Latinos' Democratic Vote (or as I see it, New Media Latinos for Obama vs. Telenovela Latinos for Hill & Bill reruns) Listen now

11.22.2007

Top 10 Political Websites

Hitwise reports that these are the 10 most trafficked political websites in the U.S. The percentage is of market share within the politics category.

It used to be that editors would get their cues from the NYTimes. Increasingly, they are getting their leads from web sources--and these sites are some of the primary sources.

Some of these sites offer insightful analyses and opinions, while others are forums for bigots and the dimwitted.

I'll let you discover for yourselves which is which. Clue: Smart (and decent) is rarely the most popular.

1. http://www.freerepublic.com/home.htm 5.14%
2. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ 4.51%
3. http://www.dailykos.com/ 2.57%
4. politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com 2.17%
5. http://www.townhall.com/ 2.1%
6. http://www.buzzflash.com/ 1.95%
7. http://www.politico.com/ 1.9%
8. http://www.humanevents.com/ 1.84%
9. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ 1.72%
10. http://www.democraticunderground.com/ 1.69%

11.19.2007

Obama takes 4 point lead in Iowa

The latest Washington Post-ABC News Poll shows Barack Obama taking a 4 point lead among Iowa Democratic voters. Very interesting--especially in light of Hillary's "win" at the CNN pseudo debate in Nevada last week.

The Clintonoids know that an Iowa defeat torpedoes what is suppose to be the inevitable presidency of Hillary Rodham Clinton. Perhaps that's why Chicago SunTimes columnist Robert Novak has written that the Clintonoids are about to go Nixonian on Obama.

Pay attention kids because the happenings over the next month in Iowa are about to get real interesting.

Related:

Clinton Slips in Iowa Poll
POLL: Obama Finds Help in Iowa With a Focus on New Ideas
Clinton camp hints she won't tell scandalous info on Obama

11.06.2007

Harris Interactive Poll: 23 Million U.S. Latino Adults Go Online

A new Harris Interactive Poll of 2,062 adults has found that 79% of U.S. adults, or 178 million, are now internet users--a 10% jump from a year ago.

Also included is the percentage of adult internet users which are Latino: 13%.

Translation: An estimated 23,140,000 U.S. Latino adults are now internet users.

Very interesting.

Related:

Four in Five of All U.S. Adults – An Estimated 178 million – Go Online

8.24.2007

Obama's Crossover Appeal

Michael Scherer (Barack Obama's Republican edge, Salon - 8.24.07) examines a little noticed or understood aspect of Barack Obama's candidacy: his appeal to Republicans.

A University of Iowa survey of Republican preference for president found that Romney #1, Rudy #2 and Obama #3.

Focus group guru Frank Luntz found that Republicans prefer Obama over Hillary and Edwards combined.

And a WaPo-ABC poll found that Republicans and Independents were more likely than Democrats to prefer Obama over Hillary.
What is Obama's attraction for Republicans?

A growing number of Republicans are simply tired of the nastiness of American politics today. And they see the polarizing tactics/personalities of the current crop of Republicans and Democrats as offering more of the same--except for Obama.

Of course, support from disaffected Republicans doesn't help Obama in his quest to win more Democratic Party primary votes than his rivals. It would, however, do him well in the Fall of '08 as the Democratic nominee.

7.31.2007

Report reveals discrimination against Latino workers

A new survey, Diversity in the Workplace (Report reveals discrimination against Latino workers (La Tribuna Hispana USA via IPA - 7.3.07), found that one-third of respondents had suffered discriminatory practices at work.

In accordance with the anti-Latino campaigns of the right, the survey found that Latinos are under siege in the American workplace, too. Here are some of the survey findings:

1) 15% of Latinos said that they have received a racist insult at work.
2) 25% of Latinos feel he or she is paid less and has fewer possibilities to progress in his or her career, compared to their white colleagues.
3) 26% of Latinos rank as serious discrimination or unequal treatment they've suffered.
4) 29% of Latinos say they suffer discrimination or unequal treatment at least once a week; 18% indicated that it occurs once a month; and 31 percent said that it occurs one to three times a year.

The most frequent discriminatory or unjust practices report by Latinos include:

1) not receiving credit for one’s own work (53 percent)
2) colleagues talking about fellow workers behind their backs (41 percent)
3) not receiving raises or bonuses (38 percent)
4) having concerns dismissed or not taken seriously (37 percent)
5) feeling that one’s ideas and opinions are generally ignored (34 percent)
6) being passed over for raises (32 percent).
7) paid less than their white colleagues, despite having the same skills and experience (22%)

Sound familiar? Had Enough? Visit ¡Ya basta! and sign the petition.

Americans Still Support Immigration Reform (including citizenship for the undocumented)

Behind Acrimonious Debate, Public Support High for Comprehensive Immigration Reform

National Immigration Forum -7.30.07

In the spring of 2007, Congress engaged in a bitter debate on the issue of immigration reform. A fierce battle was fought between those who seek practical, comprehensive solutions to our broken immigration system, and those who favor only the enforcement of the broken status quo.

The debate was conducted in an atmosphere poisoned by the followers of conservative talk radio and anti-immigration reform groups who complained loudly that any practical immigration proposal was “amnesty.” They managed to intimidate Congress into a stalemate. Until Congress picks up immigration reform again, the nation will continue to suffer the consequences of a broken immigration system.

In the aftermath of a debate that had strong anti-immigrant and anti-Latino overtones, citizenship applications are at record levels, and new Americans are registering to vote and preparing to have their say in the next election.
If recent experience proves to be a trend, however, the defenders of the broken status quo may come to regret their opposition to comprehensive immigration reform. In 2006, the Republican leadership...listened to the loud voices of immigration restrictionists and bet their political careers on...demonizing undocumented immigrants. [T]he American people were not impressed, and...Latino voters...offended—not to mention moderate and Catholic voters, who deserted the Republicans in droves. Many hardliners lost their seats and leadership positions.

Unfortunately, as the recent debate has demonstrated, lessons were not learned. The general public continued to show steady support for immigration solutions that include enhanced border security, workplace and employer enforcement, and earned legalization for undocumented immigrants with a path to citizenship. Yet, Senate immigration hardliners continued to take their queues from the loud minority opposed to reform.

Click here for a summary of recent public opinion polls on the immigration reform debate.

7.26.2007

¡Ya basta! Exposing Anti-Latino Bigotry in America

The U.S. immigration debate has given way to the biggest explosion of anti-Latino sentiment in recent memory. Using the pretense of fighting "illegal" immigration, racists across America are using the media and political offices to foment anti-Latino hostilities.

While it's an honored American tradition for decent people to stand up to the bully racists, anti-Latinos have thus far gone unchallenged.

If you believe that it's time to hold the anti-Latino bigots--and the institutions that support them--to account, please visit ¡Ya basta! and sign the ¡Ya basta! Petition.

America will be better for it.

7.25.2007

Education Top Issue for Latinos (but who cares?)

It appears that priority issues for the general public and Latinos differ dramatically.

A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll shows that 34 percent of Americans cite Iraq as the top national priority. The next closest issue was health care at 15 percent.

Meanwhile, Latinos in a Bendixen & Associates poll see Iraq (tied with Health) as the second most important issue at 26%. The top Latino concern? It's education--by a significant margin. Forty-one percentage (41%) of Latinos see education as their number one concern.

Additionally, 48% of Latinos rate the American public school system as poor or mediocre. Eighty nine percent (89%) see believe students are not held to high academic standards. Ninety-six percent (96%) believe that a lack of parental involvement in education as a major problem. And 87% believe that schools do not provide enough support for struggling students.

Unfortunately, Latino concern for education is given plenty of lip service but few solutions are offered. Actually, Latino parents are regualrly depicted in the media and in the world of educational policy as not caring about education. And since we supposedly don't care, it's alright to give our children crappy schools.

Ignoring Latino concerns is commonplace in America. For example, look at the current racist anti-Latino immigrant campaigns. Too few Americans seem bothered by the hostilities unleashed against Latinos as a result of the war against immigrants.

How is it possible that the country's largest minority group with 44 million people can have their concerns systematically ignored? A recent Pew Hispanic Center poll sheds some light on this question. It turns out that only 13% of Latinos voted in the most recent national elections.

Latino concerns are ignored because we don't vote.

If you do not vote in America, you don't have power, which allows those that do to run roughshod over you and your interests.

But there's power in numbers--and we have the numbers! Let's stop being patsies. Let's register to vote and then vote for those that best represent our interests.

Ya Basta! Time to hit back against anti-Latino bigotry

FLASH!!!! Click here for the ¡Ya
basta!
weblog and the ¡Ya basta!
Petition
.

Time to hit back against anti-Latino bigotry (by Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald - 7.22.07)

Here is what the National Council of La Raza -- the biggest U.S. Hispanic organization -- should do at its annual meeting in Miami this week: draw from the experience of African Americans and Jewish Americans by launching an all-out campaign to expose anti-Latino bigots in the media, entertainment and politics.

The recent immigration debate in the Senate, which ended with the defeat of a bill that would have given a path to citizenship to many of the 12 million undocumented workers, has given way to the biggest explosion of antiHispanic sentiment I have seen since I arrived in this country three decades ago.

Most Hispanics feel the same way. A new nationwide poll by Bendixen and Associates says 76 percent of U.S. Hispanics agree with the statement that ''anti-immigrant sentiment is growing in the United States,'' and 62 percent say this phenomenon has directly affected them or their families.

Few Hispanics believe statements by rabid antiimmigration radio and television hosts who say they only oppose ''illegal immigration.'' When asked what fuels the current anti-immigrant sentiment in the United States, 64 percent of Hispanics in the poll mentioned one factor: ``racism against immigrants from Latin America.''

Indeed, in recent times we have heard statements on radio and television that go far beyond the boundaries of fair debate over the need to fix the U.S. immigration system, and that twist the facts in ways that make it difficult to believe in the good faith of those who make them.

It's not just what fearmongers such as CNN's Lou Dobbs or radio talk show hosts Rush Limbaugh and Michael Savage allow to be said in their shows, which systematically blame Hispanics for many of America's ills. Prominent academics such as Harvard University political scientist Samuel Huntington are getting away with sweeping statements such as ``America's Latino immigration deluge . . . constitutes a major potential threat to the cultural and possibly political integrity of the United States.''

While the 44 million Hispanics are the biggest minority in America, you don't see the kind of nationwide protests, legal actions or calls for boycotts on a scale that you would probably see if these statement were directed against African Americans or Jewish Americans.

When you visit the website of the NAACP, one of the first things you see is an 'NAACP `Stop' Campaign'' headline, which is a call to action against racism in the media.

The NAACP and other African American groups regularly launch name-and-shame campaigns, and most recently forced the firing of radio host Don Imus over an April comment calling the Rutgers University women's basketball team ``nappy-headed hos.''

The Jewish Anti-Defamation League (ADL) has been exposing racism in the media since 1913.

But when you go to The National Council of La Raza's website, you don't find a similar emphasis on fighting bigotry. The group's main theme is ''Ya es hora!,'' a voter registration drive conducted alongside the Spanish-language Univisión network and other Latino organizations aimed at adding two million new Hispanic votes for the 2008 election.

La Raza President Janet Murguia conceded in an interview Friday that Hispanics need to do more to fight back against bigotry in the media.

''We do need to rethink our strategy; there is no question about it,'' Murguia told me.

``But the key change that we need to focus on is to make sure that we can influence the outcome of elections. Getting madder doesn't necessarily help, but getting smarter will help.''

My opinion: The National Council of La Raza and its sister institutions are doing the right thing with their ''Ya es hora!'' citizenship drive. But they should also launch a nationwide ''Ya basta!'' campaign to identify, name and shame those who systematically bash Hispanics.

If anti-Hispanic sentiment is allowed to keep growing, we will soon have an underclass of 12 million immigrants that will feel not only frustrated by not having a legal path to citizenship but increasingly insulted by the mainstream media.

And social exclusion mixed with frustration can be a dangerous cocktail, as we've seen in the violent 2005 riots by Muslim youths in the suburbs of Paris.

The time for Hispanics to say ''Ya basta!'' is now, before it's too late.

6.01.2007

58% Say Competitive Third Party Good for USA

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of American adults say it would be good for the United States to have a truly competitive third political party. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that just 23% disagree while 19% are not sure. Responses vary significantly by age—65% of those under 40 believe a third party would be good for the nation. Just 43% of those over 65 agree.

Other findings:

- 70% of Republicans believe that the presidential campaign has started too soon compared to just 45% of Democrats who feel that way. Overall, 58% of Americans agree.
- Rasmussen Reports speculates that Democrats are more supportive of an early presidential start because their party currently holds an 11 point edge over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot.
- Just 37% of Americans say that the current system of primaries and caucuses is a good way to select Republican and Democratic candidates. Although 72% of seniors think that the system is good.
- While 47% of Republicans and 40% of Democrats like the current system, only 24% of independent voters agree.

(Credit to OnTheWilderSide weblog for the story find.)

5.25.2007

Americans Support Immigration Reform

Surveys on immigration reform have consistently shown American support for regularizing the status of today's undocumented workers and their families.

While anti-immigrants and their allies in talk radio, cable television and rightwing policy groups crank up the volume in a coordinated and multifaceted campaign to deep-six any meaningful reforms, the recent NYTimes poll indicates that 2/3rds of Americans are taking the highroad in supporting constructive and humane solutions.

Immigration Bill Provisions Gain Wide Support in Poll (by Julia Preston, Marjorie Connelly, NYtimes - May 25, 2007
Video: National Immigration Poll Results, NYTimes 5.25.07 (2 mins. 45 secs)
Photo: NYTimes